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首頁(yè)> 美國(guó)政府科技報(bào)告 >Precursor Systems Analyses of Automated Highway Systems. Activity Area P.Preliminary Cost/Benefit Factors Analysis. Volume 5. Analysis of Automated Highway System Risks and Uncertainties
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Precursor Systems Analyses of Automated Highway Systems. Activity Area P.Preliminary Cost/Benefit Factors Analysis. Volume 5. Analysis of Automated Highway System Risks and Uncertainties

機(jī)譯：自動(dòng)公路系統(tǒng)的前兆系統(tǒng)分析。活動(dòng)區(qū)p.prelimary成本/效益因素分析。第5卷。自動(dòng)公路系統(tǒng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和不確定性分析

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This volume describes a risk analysis performed to help identify importantAutomated Highway System (AHS) deployment uncertainties and quantify their effect on costs and benefits for a range of AHS deployment scenarios. The analysis identified a suite of key factors affecting vehicle and roadway costs, capacities and market penetrations for alternative AHS deployment scenarios. A systematic protocol was utilized for obtaining expert judgements of key factor uncertainties in the form of subjective percentile assessments. Based on these assessments, probability distributions on vehicle and roadway costs, capacity and market penetration were developed for the different scenarios. The cost/benefit risk methodology and analysis provide insights by showing how uncertainties in key factor translate into uncertainties in summary cost/benefit indices. This is Volume 5 of six volumes.

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